000
WTNT80 EGRR 171800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.11.2011

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 10.6N 101.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.11.2011  10.6N 101.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 20.11.2011  11.2N 103.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.11.2011  11.9N 105.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.11.2011  12.7N 107.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.11.2011  13.1N 109.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.11.2011  13.5N 110.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.11.2011  13.2N 113.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 23.11.2011  13.0N 115.2W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.11.2011  13.0N 117.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171631