000
WHXX01 KWBC 211829
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1829 UTC FRI OCT 21 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL962011) 20111021 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111021  1800   111022  0600   111022  1800   111023  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.0N  80.5W   12.3N  81.3W   11.9N  81.7W   11.8N  81.7W
BAMD    13.0N  80.5W   12.5N  81.6W   12.1N  82.3W   11.9N  82.8W
BAMM    13.0N  80.5W   12.7N  81.7W   12.5N  82.3W   12.5N  82.5W
LBAR    13.0N  80.5W   12.6N  80.9W   12.9N  81.1W   13.7N  81.0W
SHIP        25KTS          31KTS          40KTS          51KTS
DSHP        25KTS          31KTS          40KTS          51KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111023  1800   111024  1800   111025  1800   111026  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.9N  81.7W   11.8N  81.7W   11.1N  82.2W   10.2N  82.7W
BAMD    12.1N  83.5W   12.1N  85.7W   11.4N  89.1W   11.2N  92.8W
BAMM    12.7N  82.6W   12.9N  82.9W   12.4N  83.9W   11.6N  85.1W
LBAR    15.2N  80.9W   19.3N  80.5W   23.9N  79.7W   27.8N  77.2W
SHIP        61KTS          76KTS          79KTS          75KTS
DSHP        61KTS          76KTS          79KTS          75KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.0N LONCUR =  80.5W DIRCUR = 200DEG SPDCUR =   3KT
LATM12 =  14.0N LONM12 =  80.0W DIRM12 = 196DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  14.5N LONM24 =  80.0W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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