000
WHXX01 KWBC 171829
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1829 UTC MON OCT 17 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952011) 20111017 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111017  1800   111018  0600   111018  1800   111019  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.6N  89.2W   21.9N  89.4W   22.4N  88.2W   23.2N  85.3W
BAMD    21.6N  89.2W   22.3N  89.1W   23.7N  87.5W   26.4N  83.2W
BAMM    21.6N  89.2W   22.1N  89.2W   23.0N  87.9W   24.8N  84.4W
LBAR    21.6N  89.2W   21.8N  89.2W   23.4N  88.7W   26.6N  86.4W
SHIP        30KTS          31KTS          34KTS          37KTS
DSHP        30KTS          31KTS          34KTS          37KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111019  1800   111020  1800   111021  1800   111022  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    25.5N  81.1W   34.6N  70.1W   44.6N  56.7W   45.9N  40.3W
BAMD    32.0N  76.0W   44.7N  60.8W   46.3N  39.0W   36.9N  25.9W
BAMM    29.1N  78.3W   42.5N  64.3W   49.6N  46.3W   47.6N  22.9W
LBAR    31.9N  81.6W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        34KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        31KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  21.6N LONCUR =  89.2W DIRCUR = 160DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  22.0N LONM12 =  88.0W DIRM12 = 288DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  21.0N LONM24 =  86.7W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   75NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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