000
WHXX01 KWBC 171234
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1234 UTC MON OCT 17 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952011) 20111017 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111017  1200   111018  0000   111018  1200   111019  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    22.7N  87.4W   23.8N  88.6W   24.8N  88.9W   26.3N  86.6W
BAMD    22.7N  87.4W   24.1N  87.5W   26.2N  86.0W   29.9N  81.9W
BAMM    22.7N  87.4W   24.0N  87.9W   25.5N  87.2W   28.4N  84.0W
LBAR    22.7N  87.4W   23.9N  87.4W   26.3N  86.3W   30.3N  82.6W
SHIP        30KTS          35KTS          40KTS          46KTS
DSHP        30KTS          35KTS          40KTS          46KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111019  1200   111020  1200   111021  1200   111022  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    29.0N  82.4W   38.1N  74.6W   46.7N  68.0W   48.9N  60.5W
BAMD    35.0N  77.0W   46.5N  71.4W   53.9N  64.6W   52.7N  49.1W
BAMM    32.7N  79.3W   43.3N  75.9W   46.7N  76.0W   47.5N  70.9W
LBAR    36.4N  76.3W   47.3N  57.6W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        47KTS          36KTS          17KTS           0KTS
DSHP        37KTS          30KTS          23KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  22.7N LONCUR =  87.4W DIRCUR =   0DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  21.7N LONM12 =  87.0W DIRM12 = 334DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  20.5N LONM24 =  86.7W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   75NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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