000
WHXX01 KWBC 170036
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0036 UTC MON OCT 17 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952011) 20111017 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111017  0000   111017  1200   111018  0000   111018  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.4N  86.3W   21.7N  87.6W   22.8N  88.5W   23.8N  88.4W
BAMD    20.4N  86.3W   22.0N  87.2W   23.6N  87.5W   25.8N  86.2W
BAMM    20.4N  86.3W   21.9N  87.3W   23.3N  87.7W   25.0N  87.0W
LBAR    20.4N  86.3W   21.6N  87.1W   23.4N  87.5W   25.7N  86.9W
SHIP        30KTS          37KTS          44KTS          51KTS
DSHP        30KTS          36KTS          44KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111019  0000   111020  0000   111021  0000   111022  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    25.1N  85.8W   31.7N  75.4W   42.5N  65.2W   49.8N  48.9W
BAMD    29.3N  82.0W   40.6N  73.1W   51.3N  68.9W   51.1N  62.4W
BAMM    27.7N  83.5W   37.5N  73.1W   49.0N  66.6W   50.7N  59.3W
LBAR    29.5N  83.5W   42.5N  67.8W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        58KTS          57KTS          41KTS          22KTS
DSHP        57KTS          49KTS          34KTS          32KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  20.4N LONCUR =  86.3W DIRCUR = 355DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  19.6N LONM12 =  86.2W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  18.9N LONM24 =  86.3W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   75NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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