000 WHXX01 KMIA 170033 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0033 UTC MON OCT 17 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111017 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 111017 0000 111017 1200 111018 0000 111018 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.9N 108.2W 14.6N 109.4W 15.0N 110.5W 14.9N 111.4W BAMD 13.9N 108.2W 14.8N 110.2W 15.6N 112.2W 16.2N 114.2W BAMM 13.9N 108.2W 14.7N 109.5W 15.4N 110.7W 15.6N 111.9W LBAR 13.9N 108.2W 14.3N 109.6W 15.0N 111.1W 15.9N 112.7W SHIP 25KTS 23KTS 22KTS 24KTS DSHP 25KTS 23KTS 22KTS 24KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 111019 0000 111020 0000 111021 0000 111022 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.6N 112.2W 13.5N 113.7W 12.1N 115.3W 11.3N 116.7W BAMD 16.5N 116.1W 16.8N 120.0W 17.1N 123.4W 16.7N 126.1W BAMM 15.4N 113.3W 14.3N 116.6W 12.5N 119.7W 10.1N 123.1W LBAR 16.6N 114.2W 17.6N 116.5W 17.9N 117.5W 17.6N 119.2W SHIP 24KTS 28KTS 37KTS 47KTS DSHP 24KTS 28KTS 37KTS 47KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.9N LONCUR = 108.2W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR = 4KT LATM12 = 14.2N LONM12 = 107.6W DIRM12 = 211DEG SPDM12 = 5KT LATM24 = 15.0N LONM24 = 107.2W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 140NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN