000 WHXX01 KMIA 161820 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1820 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111016 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 111016 1800 111017 0600 111017 1800 111018 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.7N 107.9W 14.3N 108.7W 14.8N 109.7W 14.9N 110.4W BAMD 13.7N 107.9W 14.3N 110.0W 15.1N 112.1W 15.9N 114.2W BAMM 13.7N 107.9W 14.3N 109.1W 15.0N 110.4W 15.4N 111.6W LBAR 13.7N 107.9W 13.7N 109.0W 14.2N 110.4W 15.0N 111.8W SHIP 25KTS 24KTS 24KTS 25KTS DSHP 25KTS 24KTS 24KTS 25KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 111018 1800 111019 1800 111020 1800 111021 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.5N 110.9W 13.1N 111.3W 11.6N 111.7W 11.1N 112.6W BAMD 16.5N 116.3W 17.6N 120.2W 18.4N 123.0W 18.2N 125.3W BAMM 15.3N 112.9W 14.3N 115.7W 12.6N 118.3W 9.9N 121.0W LBAR 16.0N 113.2W 17.7N 115.9W 18.3N 117.4W 18.2N 118.8W SHIP 26KTS 28KTS 41KTS 54KTS DSHP 26KTS 28KTS 41KTS 54KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.7N LONCUR = 107.9W DIRCUR = 215DEG SPDCUR = 4KT LATM12 = 14.5N LONM12 = 107.4W DIRM12 = 206DEG SPDM12 = 4KT LATM24 = 15.8N LONM24 = 106.9W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KWBC 161820 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1820 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952011) 20111016 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 111016 1800 111017 0600 111017 1800 111018 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 19.9N 87.0W 20.9N 88.4W 21.6N 89.4W 22.3N 89.8W BAMD 19.9N 87.0W 21.2N 88.3W 22.4N 89.1W 23.7N 89.0W BAMM 19.9N 87.0W 21.0N 88.3W 21.8N 89.4W 22.8N 89.8W LBAR 19.9N 87.0W 20.9N 88.1W 22.5N 88.9W 24.3N 89.0W SHIP 30KTS 37KTS 45KTS 51KTS DSHP 30KTS 27KTS 35KTS 41KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 111018 1800 111019 1800 111020 1800 111021 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 23.1N 88.8W 27.0N 80.3W 35.9N 69.3W 45.0N 55.1W BAMD 26.0N 86.6W 37.0N 74.1W 50.7N 62.7W 56.9N 42.9W BAMM 24.1N 88.6W 31.3N 77.1W 44.5N 66.7W 52.2N 60.2W LBAR 27.3N 87.3W 38.9N 73.5W .0N .0W .0N .0W SHIP 58KTS 60KTS 51KTS 35KTS DSHP 48KTS 46KTS 37KTS 29KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 19.9N LONCUR = 87.0W DIRCUR = 325DEG SPDCUR = 4KT LATM12 = 19.3N LONM12 = 86.6W DIRM12 = 338DEG SPDM12 = 4KT LATM24 = 18.5N LONM24 = 86.5W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 75NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN