000
WTNT80 EGRR 161800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.10.2011

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.0N 107.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.10.2011  14.0N 107.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.10.2011  14.2N 107.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.10.2011  14.8N 108.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.10.2011  14.9N 108.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 19.7N  87.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.10.2011  19.7N  87.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.10.2011  21.0N  88.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.10.2011  23.4N  89.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 161702