000
WHXX01 KMIA 161233
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1233 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111016 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111016  1200   111017  0000   111017  1200   111018  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.2N 107.6W   14.5N 108.7W   14.8N 110.0W   14.9N 111.1W
BAMD    14.2N 107.6W   14.3N 109.8W   14.9N 112.1W   15.7N 114.4W
BAMM    14.2N 107.6W   14.2N 109.2W   14.5N 110.8W   15.0N 112.1W
LBAR    14.2N 107.6W   13.8N 108.9W   14.3N 110.4W   14.9N 112.1W
SHIP        30KTS          30KTS          31KTS          31KTS
DSHP        30KTS          30KTS          31KTS          31KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111018  1200   111019  1200   111020  1200   111021  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.6N 111.9W   12.9N 112.9W   10.9N 112.6W    9.7N 112.2W
BAMD    16.6N 116.6W   18.5N 120.5W   20.1N 122.7W   20.9N 123.9W
BAMM    15.1N 113.4W   14.3N 116.2W   12.8N 118.5W   10.5N 120.2W
LBAR    15.7N 113.7W   17.6N 116.7W   18.5N 118.6W   18.2N 120.3W
SHIP        32KTS          35KTS          49KTS          54KTS
DSHP        32KTS          35KTS          49KTS          54KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.2N LONCUR = 107.6W DIRCUR = 210DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  15.0N LONM12 = 107.2W DIRM12 = 200DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  16.9N LONM24 = 106.5W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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