000
WHXX01 KWBC 160626
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0626 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952011) 20111016 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111016  0600   111016  1800   111017  0600   111017  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.6N  88.0W   19.9N  89.7W   20.0N  91.3W   19.9N  92.6W
BAMD    19.6N  88.0W   20.5N  89.5W   21.1N  90.9W   21.4N  92.2W
BAMM    19.6N  88.0W   20.2N  89.4W   20.6N  90.8W   20.8N  92.1W
LBAR    19.6N  88.0W   20.6N  89.1W   22.0N  90.2W   23.6N  90.8W
SHIP        30KTS          38KTS          45KTS          51KTS
DSHP        30KTS          28KTS          33KTS          39KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111018  0600   111019  0600   111020  0600   111021  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.9N  93.3W   18.1N  94.9W   16.4N  98.2W   18.1N 101.3W
BAMD    21.6N  93.2W   21.4N  94.3W   20.5N  94.9W   20.9N  97.2W
BAMM    21.1N  93.2W   20.6N  95.1W   19.9N  97.7W   21.0N 100.9W
LBAR    25.8N  90.3W   33.6N  80.5W     .0N    .0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        57KTS          55KTS          46KTS          40KTS
DSHP        45KTS          43KTS          30KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  19.6N LONCUR =  88.0W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  18.7N LONM12 =  87.3W DIRM12 = 313DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  17.8N LONM24 =  86.6W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   75NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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