000
WHXX01 KWBC 160039
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0039 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952011) 20111016 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111016  0000   111016  1200   111017  0000   111017  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.1N  87.8W   19.4N  89.3W   19.5N  90.8W   19.4N  92.2W
BAMD    19.1N  87.8W   19.8N  89.3W   20.2N  91.1W   20.2N  92.6W
BAMM    19.1N  87.8W   19.5N  89.2W   19.6N  90.8W   19.5N  92.3W
LBAR    19.1N  87.8W   20.2N  89.1W   21.8N  90.5W   23.5N  91.3W
SHIP        25KTS          31KTS          38KTS          45KTS
DSHP        25KTS          26KTS          30KTS          38KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111018  0000   111019  0000   111020  0000   111021  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.4N  93.2W   18.8N  94.6W   16.6N  98.2W   17.8N 102.2W
BAMD    20.1N  94.1W   19.4N  97.3W   18.8N 101.3W   20.0N 106.7W
BAMM    19.5N  93.7W   19.0N  96.4W   18.3N 100.2W   19.4N 105.2W
LBAR    25.4N  91.1W   31.8N  83.5W   41.5N  65.0W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        49KTS          57KTS          56KTS          53KTS
DSHP        42KTS          40KTS          28KTS          29KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  19.1N LONCUR =  87.8W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  18.2N LONM12 =  86.8W DIRM12 = 326DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  17.2N LONM24 =  86.4W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   75NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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