000
WHXX01 KMIA 160038
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0038 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111016 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111016  0000   111016  1200   111017  0000   111017  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N 107.2W   14.8N 108.4W   14.9N 109.7W   15.0N 111.0W
BAMD    15.0N 107.2W   14.2N 109.5W   13.8N 111.9W   14.1N 114.0W
BAMM    15.0N 107.2W   14.6N 108.8W   14.7N 110.5W   15.2N 112.2W
LBAR    15.0N 107.2W   13.7N 108.6W   13.3N 110.2W   13.6N 111.9W
SHIP        30KTS          27KTS          26KTS          26KTS
DSHP        30KTS          27KTS          26KTS          26KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111018  0000   111019  0000   111020  0000   111021  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.9N 111.9W   13.5N 112.6W   11.8N 111.4W   11.2N 109.2W
BAMD    14.9N 116.0W   16.4N 119.7W   17.5N 123.1W   18.5N 125.5W
BAMM    15.7N 113.7W   16.1N 116.7W   16.5N 119.7W   17.2N 122.0W
LBAR    14.3N 113.5W   16.0N 117.5W   17.3N 120.8W   17.6N 122.5W
SHIP        27KTS          30KTS          39KTS          49KTS
DSHP        27KTS          30KTS          39KTS          49KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.0N LONCUR = 107.2W DIRCUR = 200DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  16.9N LONM12 = 106.5W DIRM12 = 193DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  18.0N LONM24 = 106.4W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  100NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN