000
WHXX01 KWBC 151828
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1828 UTC SAT OCT 15 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952011) 20111015 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111015  1800   111016  0600   111016  1800   111017  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.7N  87.2W   19.2N  88.4W   19.4N  90.1W   19.3N  91.8W
BAMD    18.7N  87.2W   19.8N  88.3W   20.5N  89.8W   20.8N  91.5W
BAMM    18.7N  87.2W   19.4N  88.2W   19.7N  89.8W   19.6N  91.5W
LBAR    18.7N  87.2W   20.1N  88.1W   22.0N  89.1W   23.9N  89.6W
SHIP        25KTS          33KTS          40KTS          47KTS
DSHP        25KTS          25KTS          26KTS          33KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111017  1800   111018  1800   111019  1800   111020  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.1N  93.1W   18.3N  94.6W   15.6N  96.8W   15.4N 100.4W
BAMD    20.7N  93.0W   19.7N  95.9W   18.2N  99.5W   18.6N 105.1W
BAMM    19.3N  93.1W   18.4N  95.6W   16.6N  98.6W   17.0N 103.1W
LBAR    26.2N  89.0W   32.0N  81.4W   41.8N  63.1W     .0N    .0W
SHIP        52KTS          59KTS          58KTS          56KTS
DSHP        39KTS          36KTS          28KTS          29KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  18.7N LONCUR =  87.2W DIRCUR = 335DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  17.7N LONM12 =  86.5W DIRM12 = 339DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  16.8N LONM24 =  86.4W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   75NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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