000
WHXX01 KMIA 151815
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1815 UTC SAT OCT 15 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111015 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111015  1800   111016  0600   111016  1800   111017  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.8N 106.9W   15.2N 108.0W   15.1N 109.4W   15.1N 110.8W
BAMD    15.8N 106.9W   14.8N 109.0W   14.1N 111.3W   13.9N 113.5W
BAMM    15.8N 106.9W   15.0N 108.4W   14.6N 110.1W   14.6N 111.8W
LBAR    15.8N 106.9W   14.5N 107.9W   13.8N 109.3W   13.9N 111.1W
SHIP        35KTS          33KTS          34KTS          36KTS
DSHP        35KTS          33KTS          34KTS          36KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111017  1800   111018  1800   111019  1800   111020  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.1N 112.1W   14.1N 113.9W   12.4N 114.4W   10.7N 113.1W
BAMD    14.4N 115.6W   16.0N 119.3W   17.2N 122.4W   17.9N 124.6W
BAMM    15.0N 113.4W   15.4N 115.9W   15.7N 118.4W   15.8N 120.3W
LBAR    14.4N 112.9W   15.9N 117.3W   17.2N 121.0W   17.1N 123.2W
SHIP        37KTS          42KTS          48KTS          59KTS
DSHP        37KTS          42KTS          48KTS          59KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.8N LONCUR = 106.9W DIRCUR = 195DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  17.5N LONM12 = 106.5W DIRM12 = 185DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  18.4N LONM24 = 106.7W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  125NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =   60NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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