000
WHXX01 KMIA 151243
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1243 UTC SAT OCT 15 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111015 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111015  1200   111016  0000   111016  1200   111017  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.9N 106.6W   16.2N 107.8W   15.9N 109.5W   16.0N 111.3W
BAMD    16.9N 106.6W   15.6N 108.7W   14.6N 111.2W   14.0N 113.8W
BAMM    16.9N 106.6W   16.1N 108.2W   15.5N 110.1W   15.3N 112.2W
LBAR    16.9N 106.6W   15.6N 107.4W   14.8N 108.7W   14.7N 110.4W
SHIP        35KTS          30KTS          30KTS          33KTS
DSHP        35KTS          30KTS          30KTS          33KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111017  1200   111018  1200   111019  1200   111020  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.1N 113.4W   16.0N 117.1W   15.5N 120.5W   15.9N 123.5W
BAMD    13.9N 116.1W   14.8N 120.1W   16.7N 123.4W   18.6N 125.2W
BAMM    15.4N 114.4W   16.0N 118.0W   16.8N 121.1W   17.7N 123.0W
LBAR    14.9N 112.3W   15.7N 116.7W   16.5N 120.5W   17.1N 122.5W
SHIP        36KTS          39KTS          42KTS          51KTS
DSHP        36KTS          39KTS          42KTS          51KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.9N LONCUR = 106.6W DIRCUR = 170DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  18.0N LONM12 = 106.4W DIRM12 = 168DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  18.9N LONM24 = 106.8W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   35NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  125NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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