000
WHXX01 KMIA 150654
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0654 UTC SAT OCT 15 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111015 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111015  0600   111015  1800   111016  0600   111016  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.5N 106.5W   16.6N 107.4W   15.9N 108.8W   15.6N 110.5W
BAMD    17.5N 106.5W   16.1N 108.4W   14.8N 110.6W   13.8N 112.9W
BAMM    17.5N 106.5W   16.7N 107.9W   15.9N 109.6W   15.4N 111.7W
LBAR    17.5N 106.5W   16.2N 107.1W   15.2N 108.5W   14.6N 110.2W
SHIP        35KTS          31KTS          33KTS          36KTS
DSHP        35KTS          31KTS          33KTS          36KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111017  0600   111018  0600   111019  0600   111020  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.5N 112.4W   15.3N 115.8W   14.3N 118.2W   13.9N 119.9W
BAMD    13.4N 115.2W   14.0N 119.2W   15.7N 123.0W   17.3N 125.9W
BAMM    15.2N 114.0W   15.5N 118.0W   16.1N 121.3W   16.8N 123.7W
LBAR    14.5N 112.1W   14.8N 116.9W   15.3N 121.3W   15.3N 123.7W
SHIP        38KTS          41KTS          41KTS          47KTS
DSHP        38KTS          41KTS          41KTS          47KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.5N LONCUR = 106.5W DIRCUR = 185DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  18.4N LONM12 = 106.7W DIRM12 = 157DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  19.2N LONM24 = 106.8W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   35NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  100NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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