000
WTNT80 EGRR 150600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.10.2011

        TROPICAL STORM IRWIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 17.8N 106.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.10.2011  17.8N 106.6W   MODERATE
 12UTC 15.10.2011  17.2N 106.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.10.2011  16.3N 107.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.10.2011  15.7N 108.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.10.2011  15.4N 109.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.10.2011  14.4N 113.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2011  14.3N 112.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2011  10.1N 115.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2011  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH




 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 150456