000
WHXX01 KMIA 141841
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1841 UTC FRI OCT 14 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111014 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111014  1800   111015  0600   111015  1800   111016  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.3N 106.9W   17.5N 107.4W   16.3N 108.4W   15.2N 109.3W
BAMD    18.3N 106.9W   17.0N 107.8W   15.4N 109.2W   13.8N 110.8W
BAMM    18.3N 106.9W   17.6N 107.7W   16.5N 108.7W   15.4N 110.0W
LBAR    18.3N 106.9W   17.1N 107.0W   15.9N 107.8W   14.8N 109.0W
SHIP        40KTS          40KTS          44KTS          46KTS
DSHP        40KTS          40KTS          44KTS          46KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111016  1800   111017  1800   111018  1800   111019  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.3N 110.3W   14.1N 112.2W   13.2N 112.4W   12.0N 110.1W
BAMD    12.8N 112.5W   13.2N 115.5W   15.0N 118.6W   16.3N 121.5W
BAMM    14.7N 111.6W   15.0N 114.9W   15.8N 117.6W   16.7N 120.4W
LBAR    14.2N 110.5W   14.5N 114.2W   15.1N 118.6W   15.4N 121.5W
SHIP        52KTS          59KTS          58KTS          62KTS
DSHP        52KTS          59KTS          58KTS          62KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  18.3N LONCUR = 106.9W DIRCUR = 180DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  19.1N LONM12 = 106.9W DIRM12 = 205DEG SPDM12 =   2KT
LATM24 =  18.9N LONM24 = 107.1W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD =   90NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   40NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =   65NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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