000
WHXX01 KMIA 140700
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0700 UTC FRI OCT 14 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111014 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111014  0600   111014  1800   111015  0600   111015  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.1N 106.9W   19.2N 107.4W   19.0N 108.1W   18.6N 109.2W
BAMD    19.1N 106.9W   18.2N 107.4W   16.9N 108.2W   15.2N 109.6W
BAMM    19.1N 106.9W   18.7N 107.5W   18.1N 108.3W   17.2N 109.4W
LBAR    19.1N 106.9W   18.5N 106.7W   17.7N 107.1W   16.5N 107.9W
SHIP        40KTS          41KTS          43KTS          50KTS
DSHP        40KTS          41KTS          43KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111016  0600   111017  0600   111018  0600   111019  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.3N 110.6W   18.6N 114.7W   19.3N 118.6W   19.7N 122.3W
BAMD    13.6N 111.2W   12.3N 114.0W   13.4N 116.9W   15.2N 120.1W
BAMM    16.1N 110.9W   14.9N 114.7W   14.9N 117.8W   15.7N 120.6W
LBAR    15.5N 109.0W   14.6N 112.2W   14.8N 115.5W   15.6N 119.1W
SHIP        52KTS          57KTS          59KTS          57KTS
DSHP        52KTS          57KTS          59KTS          57KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  19.1N LONCUR = 106.9W DIRCUR =   0DEG SPDCUR =   0KT
LATM12 =  18.9N LONM12 = 107.1W DIRM12 =  51DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  18.1N LONM24 = 108.1W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   35NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =   75NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   40NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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