000
WHXX01 KMIA 131829
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1829 UTC THU OCT 13 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111013 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111013  1800   111014  0600   111014  1800   111015  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.6N 106.7W   18.5N 106.4W   17.9N 106.5W   16.7N 106.7W
BAMD    18.6N 106.7W   18.2N 106.7W   17.2N 107.0W   15.8N 107.7W
BAMM    18.6N 106.7W   18.2N 106.3W   17.0N 106.1W   15.4N 106.1W
LBAR    18.6N 106.7W   18.2N 105.6W   17.5N 104.9W   16.5N 104.6W
SHIP        35KTS          37KTS          39KTS          44KTS
DSHP        35KTS          37KTS          39KTS          44KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111015  1800   111016  1800   111017  1800   111018  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.6N 107.1W   14.3N 108.8W   14.5N 110.7W   13.7N 110.9W
BAMD    14.0N 108.9W   12.0N 111.0W   13.3N 113.1W   14.7N 115.8W
BAMM    13.9N 106.1W   13.0N 107.3W   14.9N 109.1W   15.2N 110.4W
LBAR    15.6N 105.1W   15.4N 107.2W   16.5N 110.3W   17.8N 114.2W
SHIP        53KTS          54KTS          58KTS          59KTS
DSHP        53KTS          54KTS          58KTS          59KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  18.6N LONCUR = 106.7W DIRCUR =  85DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  18.1N LONM12 = 108.1W DIRM12 =  50DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  16.6N LONM24 = 110.0W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =   75NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =   30NM RD34SW =   30NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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