000 WHXX01 KMIA 130049 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0049 UTC THU OCT 13 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE TWELVE (EP122011) 20111013 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 111013 0000 111013 1200 111014 0000 111014 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.5N 93.9W 16.6N 93.0W 15.8N 92.9W 14.9N 93.1W BAMD 16.5N 93.9W 17.1N 93.0W 17.0N 92.3W 16.9N 91.9W BAMM 16.5N 93.9W 17.1N 93.0W 16.7N 92.8W 16.2N 92.9W LBAR 16.5N 93.9W 17.0N 93.2W 17.2N 92.6W 17.8N 92.5W ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 111015 0000 111016 0000 111017 0000 111018 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.2N 93.3W 13.4N 93.9W 12.2N 92.0W 14.3N 89.8W BAMD 17.2N 91.9W 17.6N 93.4W 17.2N 96.8W 16.8N 100.2W BAMM 15.9N 93.2W 15.4N 95.0W 14.6N 97.0W 12.9N 97.6W LBAR 19.0N 92.9W 23.5N 94.0W 28.8N 92.9W 32.7N 84.9W ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.5N LONCUR = 93.9W DIRCUR = 40DEG SPDCUR = 5KT LATM12 = 15.1N LONM12 = 93.9W DIRM12 = 339DEG SPDM12 = 8KT LATM24 = 13.7N LONM24 = 93.7W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 90NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN