000
WHXX01 KMIA 130031
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0031 UTC THU OCT 13 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE JOVA (EP102011) 20111013 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111013  0000   111013  1200   111014  0000   111014  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.6N 104.2W   21.7N 104.5W   21.6N 105.7W   21.6N 107.0W
BAMD    21.6N 104.2W   21.7N 103.8W   20.9N 103.6W   19.7N 103.8W
BAMM    21.6N 104.2W   21.8N 104.6W   21.4N 105.4W   20.9N 106.6W
LBAR    21.6N 104.2W   21.9N 103.5W   21.9N 102.4W   21.5N 101.6W
SHIP        25KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        25KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111015  0000   111016  0000   111017  0000   111018  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.3N 108.2W   21.1N 111.0W   21.7N 114.6W   22.5N 118.9W
BAMD    18.5N 104.7W   15.9N 108.6W   14.2N 113.2W   12.9N 117.1W
BAMM    20.4N 108.0W   19.8N 111.0W   19.5N 115.6W   19.1N 121.2W
LBAR    21.4N 101.0W   22.5N 101.2W   25.4N 103.6W   28.0N 106.6W
SHIP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  21.6N LONCUR = 104.2W DIRCUR =  45DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  20.4N LONM12 = 105.0W DIRM12 =  15DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  18.6N LONM24 = 105.2W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   65KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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