000
WHXX01 KMIA 130027
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0027 UTC THU OCT 13 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111013 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111013  0000   111013  1200   111014  0000   111014  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.4N 109.1W   18.6N 107.9W   18.8N 107.5W   18.5N 107.4W
BAMD    17.4N 109.1W   18.8N 108.4W   18.8N 108.1W   17.8N 108.0W
BAMM    17.4N 109.1W   18.8N 108.0W   18.8N 107.6W   18.0N 107.4W
LBAR    17.4N 109.1W   18.7N 107.9W   19.3N 106.4W   18.9N 104.7W
SHIP        35KTS          31KTS          30KTS          32KTS
DSHP        35KTS          31KTS          30KTS          32KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111015  0000   111016  0000   111017  0000   111018  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.6N 107.4W   15.0N 108.0W   14.4N 109.2W   15.3N 111.0W
BAMD    16.1N 108.4W   11.3N 110.2W    8.1N 111.1W    8.1N 111.0W
BAMM    16.4N 107.4W   12.1N 107.6W   11.1N 106.5W   13.9N 105.7W
LBAR    18.2N 103.6W   16.9N 103.5W   17.4N 105.6W   18.6N 109.4W
SHIP        37KTS          44KTS          51KTS          60KTS
DSHP        37KTS          44KTS          51KTS          60KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.4N LONCUR = 109.1W DIRCUR =  50DEG SPDCUR =  13KT
LATM12 =  15.6N LONM12 = 111.2W DIRM12 =  56DEG SPDM12 =  16KT
LATM24 =  14.7N LONM24 = 113.7W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =   40NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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