000
WHXX01 KMIA 121840
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1840 UTC WED OCT 12 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111012 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111012  1800   111013  0600   111013  1800   111014  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.6N 110.0W   17.9N 108.4W   18.2N 107.3W   17.8N 106.6W
BAMD    16.6N 110.0W   18.4N 109.3W   18.9N 109.1W   18.3N 109.2W
BAMM    16.6N 110.0W   18.2N 108.7W   18.4N 108.0W   17.6N 107.6W
LBAR    16.6N 110.0W   18.0N 108.3W   18.9N 106.6W   19.0N 104.6W
SHIP        35KTS          32KTS          30KTS          32KTS
DSHP        35KTS          32KTS          30KTS          32KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111014  1800   111015  1800   111016  1800   111017  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.9N 106.1W   14.3N 105.5W   14.6N 105.4W   16.6N 107.1W
BAMD    16.9N 109.4W   12.6N 110.5W    8.5N 111.2W    7.7N 111.6W
BAMM    16.1N 107.1W   11.9N 105.8W   10.8N 103.8W   13.2N 101.7W
LBAR    18.3N 102.8W   17.4N 101.4W   18.5N 103.3W   20.7N 106.8W
SHIP        36KTS          50KTS          54KTS          60KTS
DSHP        36KTS          50KTS          54KTS          60KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.6N LONCUR = 110.0W DIRCUR =  60DEG SPDCUR =  15KT
LATM12 =  14.9N LONM12 = 112.7W DIRM12 =  69DEG SPDM12 =  13KT
LATM24 =  14.8N LONM24 = 114.5W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   30NM RD34SE =   75NM RD34SW =   75NM RD34NW =  30NM
 
$$
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