000
WHXX01 KMIA 121827
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1827 UTC WED OCT 12 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA (EP102011) 20111012 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111012  1800   111013  0600   111013  1800   111014  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.3N 104.6W   21.7N 104.7W   21.2N 105.5W   20.8N 106.9W
BAMD    21.3N 104.6W   21.8N 104.4W   21.2N 104.3W   20.2N 104.7W
BAMM    21.3N 104.6W   21.5N 104.8W   20.9N 105.4W   19.9N 106.5W
LBAR    21.3N 104.6W   22.1N 103.8W   22.6N 102.8W   22.6N 101.6W
SHIP        45KTS          36KTS          33KTS          33KTS
DSHP        45KTS          33KTS          29KTS          27KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111014  1800   111015  1800   111016  1800   111017  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.2N 108.1W   18.2N 110.4W   15.7N 112.7W   13.5N 114.4W
BAMD    18.9N 105.6W   16.4N 108.6W   14.1N 112.0W   12.7N 115.5W
BAMM    18.7N 107.4W   15.4N 108.8W   12.3N 109.0W   13.3N 107.7W
LBAR    22.5N 100.5W   23.3N  99.7W   26.1N 100.9W   29.8N 101.7W
SHIP        34KTS          38KTS          35KTS          43KTS
DSHP        27KTS          27KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  21.3N LONCUR = 104.6W DIRCUR =  15DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  19.6N LONM12 = 105.1W DIRM12 =   6DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  17.9N LONM24 = 105.5W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   80KT
CENPRS =  997MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   20NM RD34SE =   20NM RD34SW =   60NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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