000 WTNT80 EGRR 121800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.10.2011 TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ANALYSED POSITION : 15.3N 111.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112011 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2011 15.3N 111.3W MODERATE 00UTC 13.10.2011 16.9N 108.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2011 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE JOVA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.9N 105.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102011 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2011 19.9N 105.7W MODERATE 00UTC 13.10.2011 20.9N 106.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2011 17.5N 106.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.10.2011 17.7N 104.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2011 16.8N 103.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 15.10.2011 16.5N 103.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.10.2011 15.8N 104.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2011 15.6N 104.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.10.2011 16.1N 105.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.10.2011 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.8N 93.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122011 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2011 14.8N 93.7W INTENSE 00UTC 13.10.2011 15.4N 94.2W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.10.2011 15.6N 95.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.10.2011 16.8N 99.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2011 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 121704