000
WHXX01 KMIA 121239
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1239 UTC WED OCT 12 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111012 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111012  1200   111013  0000   111013  1200   111014  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.6N 111.2W   17.1N 109.2W   17.8N 107.6W   17.5N 106.5W
BAMD    15.6N 111.2W   18.0N 110.1W   19.5N 109.8W   19.9N 110.0W
BAMM    15.6N 111.2W   17.6N 109.4W   18.7N 108.5W   18.6N 108.1W
LBAR    15.6N 111.2W   16.9N 109.8W   18.5N 108.5W   19.2N 106.9W
SHIP        35KTS          29KTS          25KTS          25KTS
DSHP        35KTS          29KTS          25KTS          25KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111014  1200   111015  1200   111016  1200   111017  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.7N 105.5W   14.3N 103.5W   15.3N 103.0W   18.3N 105.1W
BAMD    19.6N 110.2W   17.5N 111.1W   14.7N 114.0W   11.6N 118.3W
BAMM    17.5N 107.7W   13.8N 106.6W   12.7N 105.2W   16.0N 105.4W
LBAR    18.9N 105.1W   17.5N 102.5W   17.8N 103.2W   19.6N 105.9W
SHIP        27KTS          39KTS          49KTS          50KTS
DSHP        27KTS          39KTS          49KTS          50KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.6N LONCUR = 111.2W DIRCUR =  70DEG SPDCUR =  13KT
LATM12 =  14.7N LONM12 = 113.7W DIRM12 =  86DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  15.0N LONM24 = 115.3W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   30NM RD34SE =   75NM RD34SW =   75NM RD34NW =  30NM
 
$$
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