000 WTNT80 EGRR 120600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.10.2011 TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 114.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112011 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2011 14.4N 114.0W MODERATE 12UTC 12.10.2011 15.2N 112.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2011 16.3N 110.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2011 17.7N 108.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 14.10.2011 17.9N 106.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2011 18.2N 105.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2011 17.7N 105.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.10.2011 17.2N 105.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.10.2011 16.8N 106.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.10.2011 16.5N 107.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.10.2011 16.3N 108.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.10.2011 16.2N 109.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.10.2011 16.1N 109.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE JOVA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.4N 105.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102011 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2011 18.4N 105.3W INTENSE 12UTC 12.10.2011 18.9N 104.7W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 13.10.2011 19.2N 106.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.10.2011 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 13.7N 93.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2011 13.7N 93.8W WEAK 12UTC 12.10.2011 14.3N 93.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 13.10.2011 14.2N 92.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2011 13.8N 90.8W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 14.10.2011 14.0N 92.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2011 13.6N 90.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2011 13.4N 90.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2011 13.9N 92.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.10.2011 13.7N 90.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 16.10.2011 13.9N 91.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.10.2011 14.2N 91.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.10.2011 18.5N 93.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.10.2011 19.5N 93.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 120512