000
WHXX01 KMIA 120030
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0030 UTC WED OCT 12 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111012 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111012  0000   111012  1200   111013  0000   111013  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.7N 113.7W   15.4N 111.4W   16.5N 109.0W   17.0N 107.0W
BAMD    14.7N 113.7W   15.7N 112.0W   17.7N 110.9W   18.9N 110.6W
BAMM    14.7N 113.7W   15.9N 111.3W   17.7N 109.5W   18.5N 108.6W
LBAR    14.7N 113.7W   15.4N 112.6W   17.3N 112.1W   19.1N 111.6W
SHIP        40KTS          40KTS          39KTS          37KTS
DSHP        40KTS          40KTS          39KTS          37KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111014  0000   111015  0000   111016  0000   111017  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.5N 105.0W   14.7N 101.1W   14.0N  98.2W   12.7N  95.0W
BAMD    19.0N 110.9W   18.0N 111.2W   15.4N 112.3W   13.7N 114.5W
BAMM    18.2N 108.1W   15.8N 106.8W   13.7N 104.1W   15.1N 103.5W
LBAR    20.2N 110.5W   19.8N 107.1W   18.8N 104.9W   19.5N 105.7W
SHIP        37KTS          39KTS          39KTS          32KTS
DSHP        37KTS          39KTS          39KTS          32KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.7N LONCUR = 113.7W DIRCUR =  95DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  15.0N LONM12 = 115.3W DIRM12 = 102DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  15.0N LONM24 = 116.6W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   30NM RD34SE =   75NM RD34SW =   75NM RD34NW =  30NM
 
$$
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