000
WHXX01 KMIA 111847
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1847 UTC TUE OCT 11 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA (EP102011) 20111011 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111011  1800   111012  0600   111012  1800   111013  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.9N 105.5W   19.4N 104.8W   20.6N 104.2W   21.0N 104.0W
BAMD    17.9N 105.5W   20.0N 104.8W   21.6N 103.8W   21.7N 103.0W
BAMM    17.9N 105.5W   19.5N 104.7W   20.7N 104.1W   20.7N 103.8W
LBAR    17.9N 105.5W   19.3N 104.8W   20.9N 104.2W   21.9N 103.0W
SHIP        85KTS          78KTS          77KTS          78KTS
DSHP        85KTS          78KTS          48KTS          35KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111013  1800   111014  1800   111015  1800   111016  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.6N 104.5W   19.5N 106.5W   18.6N 108.4W   18.0N 111.3W
BAMD    20.9N 102.8W   18.7N 104.4W   16.2N 107.3W   14.2N 110.6W
BAMM    19.9N 104.1W   17.8N 105.6W   15.3N 106.2W   14.9N 107.2W
LBAR    22.6N 101.1W   24.1N  97.3W   27.3N  94.3W   30.8N  89.4W
SHIP        76KTS          66KTS          52KTS          42KTS
DSHP        30KTS          27KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.9N LONCUR = 105.5W DIRCUR =  35DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  17.3N LONM12 = 106.0W DIRM12 =  34DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  16.5N LONM24 = 106.5W
WNDCUR =   85KT RMAXWD =   10NM WNDM12 =  100KT
CENPRS =  973MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =   90NM RD34SW =   80NM RD34NW =  80NM
 
$$
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