000
WHXX01 KMIA 111820
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1820 UTC TUE OCT 11 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111011 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111011  1800   111012  0600   111012  1800   111013  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.9N 115.0W   15.2N 112.9W   16.3N 110.3W   17.2N 108.0W
BAMD    14.9N 115.0W   15.4N 113.0W   17.3N 111.6W   19.3N 111.2W
BAMM    14.9N 115.0W   15.4N 112.7W   17.2N 110.5W   18.7N 109.5W
LBAR    14.9N 115.0W   15.3N 114.0W   16.8N 113.4W   18.8N 112.9W
SHIP        40KTS          45KTS          46KTS          46KTS
DSHP        40KTS          45KTS          46KTS          46KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111013  1800   111014  1800   111015  1800   111016  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.1N 106.2W   15.4N 102.6W   14.2N 100.4W   14.3N  99.3W
BAMD    20.5N 111.6W   22.7N 112.4W   25.1N 112.4W   26.5N 112.3W
BAMM    19.0N 109.6W   18.7N 110.1W   18.0N 110.7W   16.6N 113.3W
LBAR    20.2N 112.3W   20.6N 108.9W   19.7N 106.0W   19.6N 106.5W
SHIP        45KTS          43KTS          48KTS          52KTS
DSHP        45KTS          43KTS          48KTS          52KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.9N LONCUR = 115.0W DIRCUR =  95DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  15.1N LONM12 = 116.0W DIRM12 =  90DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  15.0N LONM24 = 117.3W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   40NM RD34SE =   50NM RD34SW =   30NM RD34NW =  30NM
 
$$
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