000
WTNT80 EGRR 111800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.10.2011

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 115.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.10.2011  15.2N 115.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.10.2011  15.5N 114.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2011  15.8N 113.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2011  16.6N 111.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2011  16.9N 109.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.10.2011  16.4N 106.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.10.2011  15.6N 103.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.10.2011  15.1N 102.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2011  14.2N 102.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 16.10.2011  14.2N 103.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2011  14.4N 104.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.10.2011  14.9N 106.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.10.2011  15.3N 107.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             HURRICANE JOVA       ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 106.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.10.2011  17.5N 106.0W    STRONG
 00UTC 12.10.2011  17.9N 104.7W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 12.10.2011  18.6N 104.8W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.10.2011  17.8N 103.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 13.10.2011        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 111701