000
WHXX01 KMIA 110641
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0641 UTC TUE OCT 11 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111011 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111011  0600   111011  1800   111012  0600   111012  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.1N 115.9W   15.3N 113.8W   16.1N 110.8W   17.6N 108.4W
BAMD    15.1N 115.9W   15.2N 113.9W   16.6N 111.2W   18.7N 110.1W
BAMM    15.1N 115.9W   15.3N 112.8W   17.2N 109.4W   19.2N 108.6W
LBAR    15.1N 115.9W   15.3N 114.6W   16.1N 113.8W   17.8N 113.0W
SHIP        35KTS          34KTS          34KTS          31KTS
DSHP        35KTS          34KTS          34KTS          31KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111013  0600   111014  0600   111015  0600   111016  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.5N 107.2W   18.1N 106.3W   17.5N 106.2W   17.8N 107.8W
BAMD    20.4N 110.3W   23.1N 112.0W   26.7N 113.1W   30.9N 110.8W
BAMM    20.1N 109.2W   21.6N 111.6W   24.5N 114.3W   27.0N 115.7W
LBAR    19.5N 112.4W   21.3N 109.2W   21.7N 105.6W   22.2N 105.5W
SHIP        27KTS          30KTS          38KTS          42KTS
DSHP        27KTS          30KTS          38KTS          42KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.1N LONCUR = 115.9W DIRCUR =  85DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  15.0N LONM12 = 117.3W DIRM12 =  86DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  14.8N LONM24 = 118.6W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   40NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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