000
WTNT80 EGRR 110600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 11.10.2011

        TROPICAL STORM IRWIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N 116.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.10.2011  14.9N 116.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 11.10.2011  14.7N 115.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2011  14.8N 114.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2011  15.6N 112.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.10.2011  17.2N 110.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2011  18.3N 109.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.10.2011  18.4N 107.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.10.2011  17.7N 105.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2011  16.0N 103.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2011  15.5N 103.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2011  15.0N 103.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2011  15.0N 104.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2011  14.9N 105.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


             HURRICANE JOVA       ANALYSED POSITION : 17.2N 106.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102011

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.10.2011  17.2N 106.1W   MODERATE
 12UTC 11.10.2011  17.5N 105.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.10.2011  18.4N 104.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 12.10.2011  18.8N 104.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.10.2011  18.0N 103.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.10.2011     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 110455