000
WHXX01 KMIA 101820
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1820 UTC MON OCT 10 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA (EP102011) 20111010 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111010  1800   111011  0600   111011  1800   111012  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.5N 106.4W   17.7N 105.4W   19.1N 105.1W   20.7N 105.3W
BAMD    16.5N 106.4W   17.8N 106.0W   19.9N 105.4W   22.6N 104.2W
BAMM    16.5N 106.4W   17.7N 105.5W   19.7N 104.9W   21.8N 104.3W
LBAR    16.5N 106.4W   17.4N 105.6W   18.6N 105.3W   20.1N 105.1W
SHIP       110KTS         107KTS          96KTS          76KTS
DSHP       110KTS         107KTS          96KTS          67KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111012  1800   111013  1800   111014  1800   111015  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.7N 105.6W   22.0N 107.4W   22.7N 109.8W   24.4N 112.5W
BAMD    24.2N 102.8W   24.0N 101.5W   22.3N 101.8W   21.9N 104.5W
BAMM    23.1N 104.0W   23.2N 105.9W   24.0N 108.6W   27.6N 111.3W
LBAR    21.9N 104.6W   24.4N 101.3W   25.8N  96.5W   27.7N  92.7W
SHIP        66KTS          54KTS          42KTS          29KTS
DSHP        40KTS          28KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.5N LONCUR = 106.4W DIRCUR =  60DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  16.3N LONM12 = 107.4W DIRM12 =  90DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  16.2N LONM24 = 108.3W
WNDCUR =  110KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =  100KT
CENPRS =  960MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =   80NM RD34NW =  70NM
 
$$
NNNN