000
WHXX01 KMIA 101815
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1815 UTC MON OCT 10 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111010 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111010  1800   111011  0600   111011  1800   111012  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N 117.3W   14.9N 115.6W   14.8N 112.9W   15.6N 108.9W
BAMD    15.0N 117.3W   14.8N 115.7W   14.1N 113.7W   14.2N 111.2W
BAMM    15.0N 117.3W   14.6N 115.1W   14.4N 111.7W   15.7N 107.4W
LBAR    15.0N 117.3W   15.3N 116.0W   15.5N 115.1W   16.2N 114.3W
SHIP        30KTS          24KTS          22KTS          21KTS
DSHP        30KTS          24KTS          22KTS          21KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111012  1800   111013  1800   111014  1800   111015  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.0N 105.7W   17.7N 102.7W   16.0N 101.3W   13.4N 100.0W
BAMD    15.4N 108.9W   17.1N 106.0W   15.8N 105.0W   13.2N 105.8W
BAMM    17.7N 104.5W   18.5N 102.7W   17.1N 103.4W   15.2N 104.9W
LBAR    17.8N 113.7W   20.6N 112.4W   21.3N 109.6W   20.2N 107.4W
SHIP        21KTS          20KTS          29KTS          32KTS
DSHP        21KTS          20KTS          29KTS          32KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.0N LONCUR = 117.3W DIRCUR =  85DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  14.8N LONM12 = 118.6W DIRM12 =  84DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  14.7N LONM24 = 119.6W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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