000
WHXX01 KMIA 101418
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1418 UTC MON OCT 10 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111010 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111010  1200   111011  0000   111011  1200   111012  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N 118.1W   15.2N 116.3W   14.9N 114.4W   14.9N 111.4W
BAMD    15.0N 118.1W   15.2N 116.8W   14.5N 115.3W   13.6N 113.5W
BAMM    15.0N 118.1W   15.1N 115.9W   14.6N 113.3W   14.7N 109.8W
LBAR    15.0N 118.1W   15.3N 116.8W   15.8N 115.8W   16.3N 115.1W
SHIP        35KTS          30KTS          28KTS          28KTS
DSHP        35KTS          30KTS          28KTS          28KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111012  1200   111013  1200   111014  1200   111015  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.8N 107.8W   17.4N 103.5W   16.8N 101.2W   14.5N  99.3W
BAMD    13.6N 111.6W   15.4N 108.4W   15.6N 106.5W   14.0N 105.7W
BAMM    16.1N 106.3W   18.1N 103.1W   17.6N 102.6W   16.4N 103.4W
LBAR    17.4N 114.6W   20.3N 114.1W   21.8N 112.4W   21.8N 110.3W
SHIP        28KTS          27KTS          28KTS          27KTS
DSHP        28KTS          27KTS          28KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.0N LONCUR = 118.1W DIRCUR =  85DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  14.8N LONM12 = 119.2W DIRM12 =  75DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  14.7N LONM24 = 120.0W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   40NM RD34SE =   70NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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