000 WHXX01 KMIA 101228 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1228 UTC MON OCT 10 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111010 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 111010 1200 111011 0000 111011 1200 111012 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.0N 118.1W 15.2N 116.3W 14.9N 114.4W 14.9N 111.4W BAMD 15.0N 118.1W 15.2N 116.8W 14.5N 115.3W 13.6N 113.5W BAMM 15.0N 118.1W 15.1N 115.9W 14.6N 113.3W 14.7N 109.8W LBAR 15.0N 118.1W 15.3N 116.8W 15.8N 115.8W 16.3N 115.1W SHIP 35KTS 30KTS 28KTS 28KTS DSHP 35KTS 30KTS 28KTS 28KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 111012 1200 111013 1200 111014 1200 111015 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.8N 107.8W 17.4N 103.5W 16.8N 101.2W 14.5N 99.3W BAMD 13.6N 111.6W 15.4N 108.4W 15.6N 106.5W 14.0N 105.7W BAMM 16.1N 106.3W 18.1N 103.1W 17.6N 102.6W 16.4N 103.4W LBAR 17.4N 114.6W 20.3N 114.1W 21.8N 112.4W 21.8N 110.3W SHIP 28KTS 27KTS 28KTS 27KTS DSHP 28KTS 27KTS 28KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 15.0N LONCUR = 118.1W DIRCUR = 85DEG SPDCUR = 6KT LATM12 = 14.8N LONM12 = 119.2W DIRM12 = 75DEG SPDM12 = 4KT LATM24 = 14.7N LONM24 = 120.0W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 45KT CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 40NM RD34SE = 70NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 60NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KMIA 101228 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1228 UTC MON OCT 10 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA (EP102011) 20111010 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 111010 1200 111011 0000 111011 1200 111012 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.3N 107.0W 16.5N 105.8W 17.3N 105.0W 18.6N 104.5W BAMD 16.3N 107.0W 16.6N 106.3W 17.5N 105.5W 19.5N 104.4W BAMM 16.3N 107.0W 16.6N 105.9W 17.6N 105.0W 19.4N 104.2W LBAR 16.3N 107.0W 16.8N 106.3W 17.6N 106.2W 18.5N 106.4W SHIP 110KTS 115KTS 107KTS 92KTS DSHP 110KTS 115KTS 107KTS 92KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 111012 1200 111013 1200 111014 1200 111015 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.0N 104.2W 20.7N 105.2W 20.5N 107.0W 21.1N 108.8W BAMD 21.9N 103.2W 23.1N 102.0W 22.0N 102.4W 22.1N 105.3W BAMM 21.4N 103.5W 22.2N 104.7W 22.6N 107.6W 25.6N 110.8W LBAR 20.1N 106.6W 23.0N 105.7W 24.3N 102.5W 25.5N 99.6W SHIP 75KTS 59KTS 43KTS 31KTS DSHP 57KTS 30KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.3N LONCUR = 107.0W DIRCUR = 90DEG SPDCUR = 4KT LATM12 = 16.3N LONM12 = 107.8W DIRM12 = 83DEG SPDM12 = 4KT LATM24 = 16.2N LONM24 = 109.0W WNDCUR = 110KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 90KT CENPRS = 957MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 80NM RD34SE = 80NM RD34SW = 80NM RD34NW = 70NM $$ NNNN