000
WHXX01 KMIA 100639
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0639 UTC MON OCT 10 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111010 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111010  0600   111010  1800   111011  0600   111011  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.9N 118.8W   15.2N 116.6W   15.0N 114.6W   14.8N 112.1W
BAMD    14.9N 118.8W   15.3N 117.4W   14.9N 115.9W   14.0N 114.4W
BAMM    14.9N 118.8W   15.3N 116.6W   15.1N 114.0W   14.7N 110.9W
LBAR    14.9N 118.8W   15.5N 117.5W   16.1N 116.4W   16.4N 115.7W
SHIP        45KTS          45KTS          45KTS          46KTS
DSHP        45KTS          45KTS          45KTS          46KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111012  0600   111013  0600   111014  0600   111015  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N 108.7W   17.2N 103.0W   16.6N  99.8W   13.7N  97.4W
BAMD    13.4N 112.6W   14.9N 109.6W   15.6N 107.4W   14.2N 106.2W
BAMM    15.5N 107.5W   18.1N 102.9W   17.8N 101.5W   16.3N 101.4W
LBAR    17.0N 115.6W   18.9N 115.5W   20.8N 115.4W   21.0N 113.4W
SHIP        44KTS          40KTS          35KTS          30KTS
DSHP        44KTS          40KTS          35KTS          30KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.9N LONCUR = 118.8W DIRCUR =  80DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  14.7N LONM12 = 119.6W DIRM12 =  83DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  14.6N LONM24 = 120.3W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   70NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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