000
WHXX01 KMIA 100040
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0040 UTC MON OCT 10 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111010 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111010  0000   111010  1200   111011  0000   111011  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.1N 119.0W   15.5N 116.9W   15.3N 115.0W   14.9N 113.0W
BAMD    15.1N 119.0W   15.9N 117.8W   16.0N 116.4W   15.2N 114.9W
BAMM    15.1N 119.0W   15.5N 117.2W   15.2N 115.1W   14.2N 112.8W
LBAR    15.1N 119.0W   15.6N 117.8W   16.4N 116.6W   16.7N 115.7W
SHIP        45KTS          45KTS          43KTS          41KTS
DSHP        45KTS          45KTS          43KTS          41KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111012  0000   111013  0000   111014  0000   111015  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.8N 109.9W   17.1N 103.4W   17.4N 100.8W   15.6N  99.5W
BAMD    13.9N 113.3W   14.4N 109.7W   15.3N 107.6W   13.7N 107.0W
BAMM    13.7N 109.9W   15.2N 103.6W   15.3N  99.5W   14.5N  97.4W
LBAR    17.0N 115.2W   18.2N 115.3W   19.6N 114.9W   20.1N 113.2W
SHIP        43KTS          37KTS          34KTS          36KTS
DSHP        43KTS          37KTS          34KTS          36KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.1N LONCUR = 119.0W DIRCUR =  85DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  15.0N LONM12 = 120.0W DIRM12 =  66DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  14.5N LONM24 = 120.7W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   75NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
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