000
WHXX01 KMIA 091841
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1841 UTC SUN OCT 9 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA (EP102011) 20111009 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111009  1800   111010  0600   111010  1800   111011  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.2N 108.3W   15.7N 106.8W   15.3N 105.6W   15.7N 104.4W
BAMD    16.2N 108.3W   16.0N 107.2W   15.7N 106.4W   15.7N 105.8W
BAMM    16.2N 108.3W   16.0N 106.9W   15.8N 105.8W   16.1N 104.8W
LBAR    16.2N 108.3W   16.5N 106.7W   16.9N 105.7W   17.4N 105.1W
SHIP        80KTS          85KTS          86KTS          89KTS
DSHP        80KTS          85KTS          86KTS          89KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111011  1800   111012  1800   111013  1800   111014  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.8N 103.5W   19.7N 102.1W   20.3N 102.5W   19.0N 103.7W
BAMD    16.5N 105.0W   20.8N 102.7W   21.7N 101.7W   20.4N 103.0W
BAMM    17.4N 103.9W   21.4N 102.4W   21.9N 103.1W   21.1N 105.8W
LBAR    18.0N 105.0W   21.0N 105.1W   23.9N 103.1W   25.2N  98.5W
SHIP        81KTS          56KTS          47KTS          39KTS
DSHP        81KTS          37KTS          28KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.2N LONCUR = 108.3W DIRCUR =  90DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  16.1N LONM12 = 109.5W DIRM12 =  77DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  15.9N LONM24 = 110.3W
WNDCUR =   80KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   75KT
CENPRS =  978MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  165NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   70NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =   80NM RD34NW =  70NM
 
$$
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