000
WHXX01 KMIA 091223
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1223 UTC SUN OCT 9 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111009 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111009  1200   111010  0000   111010  1200   111011  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N 120.0W   16.0N 118.4W   16.6N 117.2W   16.8N 116.2W
BAMD    15.0N 120.0W   16.2N 119.2W   17.5N 118.1W   18.3N 116.6W
BAMM    15.0N 120.0W   16.0N 118.7W   17.0N 117.2W   17.4N 115.4W
LBAR    15.0N 120.0W   15.7N 119.1W   16.6N 118.0W   17.3N 116.6W
SHIP        40KTS          36KTS          35KTS          32KTS
DSHP        40KTS          36KTS          35KTS          32KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111011  1200   111012  1200   111013  1200   111014  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.4N 115.5W   16.1N 110.3W   18.7N 106.7W   19.1N 106.4W
BAMD    18.1N 115.0W   17.6N 111.9W   20.7N 111.9W   23.8N 114.2W
BAMM    17.1N 113.5W   18.2N 108.5W   20.6N 108.1W   22.1N 110.4W
LBAR    17.9N 115.6W   19.2N 115.2W   21.5N 116.7W   23.3N 117.8W
SHIP        31KTS          29KTS          25KTS          27KTS
DSHP        31KTS          29KTS          25KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.0N LONCUR = 120.0W DIRCUR =  55DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  14.5N LONM12 = 120.7W DIRM12 =  53DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  14.2N LONM24 = 121.1W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   75NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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