000
WHXX01 KMIA 091149
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1149 UTC SUN OCT 9 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992011) 20111009 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111009  1200   111010  0000   111010  1200   111011  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.0N  96.0W   11.0N  95.8W   11.2N  95.5W   11.6N  95.3W
BAMD    11.0N  96.0W   10.9N  96.3W   11.0N  96.8W   11.3N  97.4W
BAMM    11.0N  96.0W   11.2N  95.8W   11.6N  96.2W   12.3N  96.6W
LBAR    11.0N  96.0W   11.4N  95.7W   12.0N  95.7W   13.1N  96.3W
SHIP        25KTS          27KTS          30KTS          34KTS
DSHP        25KTS          27KTS          30KTS          34KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111011  1200   111012  1200   111013  1200   111014  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.2N  94.9W   14.2N  94.2W   16.7N  93.3W   17.3N  94.0W
BAMD    11.7N  97.9W   12.8N  98.2W   12.9N  97.3W   12.0N  96.6W
BAMM    13.3N  97.0W   16.0N  96.9W   18.4N  96.5W   18.9N  97.4W
LBAR    14.2N  97.3W   18.0N  99.2W   21.8N  99.4W   21.2N  97.3W
SHIP        35KTS          38KTS          37KTS          38KTS
DSHP        35KTS          38KTS          29KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.0N LONCUR =  96.0W DIRCUR =  75DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  10.7N LONM12 =  97.0W DIRM12 = 180DEG SPDM12 =   1KT
LATM24 =  11.1N LONM24 =  96.1W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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