000
WHXX01 KMIA 082054
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2054 UTC SAT OCT 8 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111008 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111008  1800   111009  0600   111009  1800   111010  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.3N 121.0W   15.5N 119.9W   16.9N 119.3W   18.1N 119.1W
BAMD    14.3N 121.0W   15.0N 121.1W   16.0N 120.8W   17.2N 120.4W
BAMM    14.3N 121.0W   15.1N 120.5W   16.2N 120.0W   17.4N 119.4W
LBAR    14.3N 121.0W   14.9N 120.7W   15.7N 120.3W   16.4N 119.4W
SHIP        60KTS          51KTS          46KTS          44KTS
DSHP        60KTS          51KTS          46KTS          44KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111010  1800   111011  1800   111012  1800   111013  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.6N 119.4W   17.7N 120.7W   16.4N 121.3W   16.6N 119.9W
BAMD    18.4N 119.7W   17.8N 117.9W   16.4N 118.2W   17.2N 118.4W
BAMM    18.4N 118.5W   17.8N 117.0W   17.1N 116.8W   17.8N 117.3W
LBAR    17.2N 118.2W   18.3N 115.7W   19.9N 114.9W   21.8N 115.1W
SHIP        33KTS          26KTS          18KTS          18KTS
DSHP        33KTS          26KTS          18KTS          18KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.3N LONCUR = 121.0W DIRCUR =   0DEG SPDCUR =   1KT
LATM12 =  14.1N LONM12 = 121.1W DIRM12 = 305DEG SPDM12 =   2KT
LATM24 =  13.8N LONM24 = 120.4W
WNDCUR =   60KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   80KT
CENPRS =  993MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   75NM RD34SE =   75NM RD34SW =   60NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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