000
WHXX01 KMIA 082011
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2011 UTC SAT OCT 8 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA (EP102011) 20111008 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111008  1800   111009  0600   111009  1800   111010  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.9N 110.3W   16.7N 109.2W   16.7N 108.2W   16.4N 107.0W
BAMD    15.9N 110.3W   16.4N 109.1W   16.5N 107.7W   16.6N 106.6W
BAMM    15.9N 110.3W   16.5N 109.1W   16.5N 107.8W   16.4N 106.6W
LBAR    15.9N 110.3W   16.6N 109.1W   17.3N 107.9W   18.0N 106.9W
SHIP        65KTS          75KTS          85KTS          89KTS
DSHP        65KTS          75KTS          85KTS          89KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111010  1800   111011  1800   111012  1800   111013  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.2N 105.4W   17.4N 102.8W   19.7N 101.9W   20.5N 102.3W
BAMD    16.9N 105.9W   18.4N 105.3W   20.8N 104.4W   21.9N 104.7W
BAMM    16.6N 105.6W   18.0N 104.0W   20.3N 103.1W   21.1N 103.8W
LBAR    18.8N 105.8W   20.9N 104.2W   24.7N 102.3W   26.7N  97.7W
SHIP        92KTS          79KTS          56KTS          49KTS
DSHP        92KTS          79KTS          36KTS          28KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.9N LONCUR = 110.3W DIRCUR =  45DEG SPDCUR =   3KT
LATM12 =  15.6N LONM12 = 110.5W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 =   3KT
LATM24 =  14.3N LONM24 = 110.4W
WNDCUR =   65KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   55KT
CENPRS =  989MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  165NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   70NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =   80NM RD34NW =  70NM
 
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