000 WHXX01 KMIA 081305 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1305 UTC SAT OCT 8 2011 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA (EP102011) 20111008 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 111008 1200 111009 0000 111009 1200 111010 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.7N 110.5W 16.6N 110.0W 16.8N 109.5W 16.7N 108.6W BAMD 15.7N 110.5W 16.4N 110.1W 16.5N 109.1W 16.6N 108.0W BAMM 15.7N 110.5W 16.6N 109.9W 16.7N 109.1W 16.6N 108.0W LBAR 15.7N 110.5W 16.2N 109.9W 17.1N 109.0W 17.9N 108.1W SHIP 55KTS 62KTS 69KTS 74KTS DSHP 55KTS 62KTS 69KTS 74KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 111010 1200 111011 1200 111012 1200 111013 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.3N 107.0W 17.6N 102.7W 20.2N 102.2W 21.8N 104.1W BAMD 17.0N 107.3W 18.6N 106.5W 21.4N 105.7W 22.9N 108.0W BAMM 16.7N 106.7W 18.5N 104.4W 21.3N 104.0W 22.3N 106.8W LBAR 18.6N 107.1W 20.5N 105.1W 23.6N 103.8W 25.8N 100.5W SHIP 83KTS 67KTS 47KTS 45KTS DSHP 83KTS 67KTS 34KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 15.7N LONCUR = 110.5W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 1KT LATM12 = 15.1N LONM12 = 110.5W DIRM12 = 356DEG SPDM12 = 7KT LATM24 = 13.5N LONM24 = 110.0W WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 55KT CENPRS = 996MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 165NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 70NM RD34SE = 80NM RD34SW = 80NM RD34NW = 70NM $$ NNNN