000
WHXX01 KMIA 080649
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0649 UTC SAT OCT 8 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111008 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111008  0600   111008  1800   111009  0600   111009  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.3N 121.1W   15.1N 120.8W   15.7N 120.2W   16.4N 119.5W
BAMD    14.3N 121.1W   14.8N 121.9W   15.1N 122.5W   15.5N 122.9W
BAMM    14.3N 121.1W   14.7N 121.3W   15.2N 121.1W   15.9N 120.8W
LBAR    14.3N 121.1W   15.0N 121.3W   15.7N 121.3W   16.4N 120.8W
SHIP        80KTS          77KTS          76KTS          76KTS
DSHP        80KTS          77KTS          76KTS          76KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111010  0600   111011  0600   111012  0600   111013  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.3N 118.8W   17.8N 118.4W   16.7N 116.8W   17.5N 113.0W
BAMD    16.1N 123.0W   17.2N 121.2W   16.0N 118.9W   18.1N 116.3W
BAMM    16.8N 120.3W   17.5N 117.8W   17.7N 113.5W   20.1N 113.7W
LBAR    17.4N 119.8W   19.1N 117.3W   20.7N 116.1W   22.9N 116.6W
SHIP        77KTS          66KTS          62KTS          54KTS
DSHP        77KTS          66KTS          62KTS          54KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.3N LONCUR = 121.1W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  13.8N LONM12 = 120.5W DIRM12 = 301DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  13.3N LONM24 = 119.4W
WNDCUR =   80KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   80KT
CENPRS =  980MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  165NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   50NM RD34SE =   90NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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