000
WHXX01 KMIA 071915
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1915 UTC FRI OCT 7 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA (EP102011) 20111007 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111007  1800   111008  0600   111008  1800   111009  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.3N 110.4W   15.7N 110.9W   17.0N 111.3W   17.7N 111.6W
BAMD    14.3N 110.4W   15.2N 111.2W   16.1N 111.2W   16.9N 110.4W
BAMM    14.3N 110.4W   15.5N 111.1W   16.4N 111.3W   17.1N 110.7W
LBAR    14.3N 110.4W   15.7N 110.5W   16.8N 110.4W   17.7N 109.8W
SHIP        55KTS          64KTS          69KTS          81KTS
DSHP        55KTS          64KTS          69KTS          81KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111009  1800   111010  1800   111011  1800   111012  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.0N 111.6W   17.7N 108.5W   18.9N 102.1W   20.0N 100.2W
BAMD    17.4N 109.0W   19.3N 106.2W   21.9N 100.6W   26.5N  95.2W
BAMM    17.6N 109.8W   18.7N 106.3W   20.3N 100.4W   23.0N  97.5W
LBAR    18.4N 109.0W   20.1N 106.9W   22.7N 104.9W   26.5N 102.7W
SHIP        83KTS          70KTS          45KTS          41KTS
DSHP        83KTS          70KTS          36KTS          28KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.3N LONCUR = 110.4W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  12.9N LONM12 = 109.2W DIRM12 = 297DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  12.3N LONM24 = 107.2W
WNDCUR =   55KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS =  997MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   90NM RD34SW =   90NM RD34NW =  20NM
 
$$
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