000
WHXX01 KMIA 071839
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1839 UTC FRI OCT 7 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111007 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111007  1800   111008  0600   111008  1800   111009  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMD    13.9N 120.7W   14.0N 121.5W   14.0N 122.1W   13.9N 122.5W
SHIP        80KTS          87KTS          91KTS          93KTS
DSHP        80KTS          87KTS          91KTS          93KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111009  1800   111010  1800   111011  1800   111012  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMD    13.8N 122.5W   14.2N 120.7W   13.4N 119.2W   12.0N 119.3W
SHIP        93KTS          84KTS          70KTS          67KTS
DSHP        93KTS          84KTS          70KTS          67KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.9N LONCUR = 120.7W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  13.4N LONM12 = 119.5W DIRM12 = 295DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  12.6N LONM24 = 117.6W
WNDCUR =   80KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   65KT
CENPRS =  980MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   50NM RD34SE =   90NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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