000
WHXX01 KMIA 071239
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1239 UTC FRI OCT 7 2011
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN (EP112011) 20111007 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        111007  1200   111008  0000   111008  1200   111009  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.8N 120.2W   14.2N 120.9W   14.5N 121.0W   14.3N 120.3W
BAMD    13.8N 120.2W   14.2N 121.0W   14.2N 121.6W   13.9N 121.9W
BAMM    13.8N 120.2W   14.1N 120.9W   14.2N 121.2W   13.9N 121.1W
LBAR    13.8N 120.2W   14.6N 121.1W   15.5N 121.7W   16.2N 121.9W
SHIP        65KTS          71KTS          80KTS          82KTS
DSHP        65KTS          71KTS          80KTS          82KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        111009  1200   111010  1200   111011  1200   111012  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.1N 118.0W   16.3N 110.2W   19.8N 103.9W   21.6N 103.3W
BAMD    13.4N 121.9W   13.1N 120.0W   13.4N 117.3W   12.3N 116.5W
BAMM    13.6N 119.9W   15.4N 114.6W   17.9N 107.5W   20.1N 102.3W
LBAR    16.8N 121.7W   18.5N 119.6W   20.5N 116.8W   22.1N 114.8W
SHIP        82KTS          74KTS          63KTS          56KTS
DSHP        82KTS          74KTS          63KTS          56KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.8N LONCUR = 120.2W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  12.9N LONM12 = 118.4W DIRM12 = 294DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  12.3N LONM24 = 116.7W
WNDCUR =   65KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   55KT
CENPRS =  986MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =   75NM RD34SW =   45NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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